Is CVS Health (CVS) Still a Buy After Years of Legal Battles & Store Closures?

Is CVS Health (CVS) Still a Buy After Years of Legal Battles & Store Closures?

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CVS Health Corporation (NYSE:CVS) is one of the largest healthcare companies in the United States, operating a unique business model that integrates retail pharmacy, pharmacy benefit management, and health insurance services. Founded in 1963 as Consumer Value Stores in Lowell, Massachusetts, the company began as a small chain of health and beauty aid shops before quickly expanding into pharmacy services. By the 1990s, CVS had established itself as one of the leading pharmacy chains in the nation through aggressive store openings and acquisitions, including the purchase of Revco in 1997 and Eckerd stores in the early 2000s. This expansion strategy enabled CVS to grow into a national brand with thousands of retail locations serving millions of customers daily.

The company’s transformation accelerated in the mid-2000s when it acquired Caremark, one of the largest pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) in the country, in a $26 billion deal. This move reshaped CVS from a traditional pharmacy chain into a vertically integrated healthcare company with the ability to manage prescription drug benefits for employers, insurers, and government programs. The merger created CVS Caremark, allowing the company to exert more control over drug pricing, distribution, and reimbursement processes while expanding its reach across the healthcare system.

In 2014, CVS made a landmark decision to rebrand as CVS Health, signaling a shift toward becoming a broader healthcare provider rather than just a pharmacy chain. That same year, it removed all tobacco products from its stores, a bold move that aligned with its health-focused mission and set it apart from retail competitors. The company also began investing in in-store health clinics, known as MinuteClinics, which offered accessible and affordable care for basic medical needs.

The most transformative step in CVS’s history came in 2018 with its acquisition of Aetna, one of the largest health insurers in the U.S., in a deal valued at $69 billion. This merger created a fully integrated healthcare company that combines insurance coverage, pharmacy services, and direct patient care under one umbrella. By adding Aetna, CVS positioned itself at the forefront of a new model of healthcare delivery, where patients could have access to insurance, prescriptions, and clinical services through a single company.

Today, CVS Health operates through three main segments: Health Care Benefits, which provides a wide range of insurance products and services through Aetna; Health Services, which includes its pharmacy benefit management operations through CVS Caremark; and Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness, which encompasses its retail pharmacies, specialty pharmacy operations, and MinuteClinics. This integrated structure allows CVS to touch nearly every aspect of patient care, from insurance coverage to prescription management to in-person health services.

With a nationwide presence of over 9,000 retail locations and a rapidly growing digital health platform, CVS Health has positioned itself as both a leader in traditional pharmacy services and a key player in the evolution of value-based healthcare. Its scale, combined with its focus on integration and innovation, makes it one of the most influential companies shaping the future of healthcare in the United States.

A major bearish overhang for CVS Health is its mounting legal exposure. CVS Caremark, its pharmacy benefit manager, was recently ordered to pay nearly $290 million in a whistleblower case tied to Medicare Part D fraud. Additionally, Omnicare, a CVS unit, faces nearly $1 billion in False Claims Act liabilities for improper billing practices across Medicare and Medicaid. These cases underscore a pattern of legal vulnerabilities that could continue to drain financial resources for years to come.

Such litigation risks directly impact CVS’s profitability. In Q2 2025, litigation charges of $833 million drove a $664 million year-over-year decline in operating income. These recurring legal shocks not only impair earnings but also raise questions about CVS’s corporate governance and the sustainability of its PBM model.

Is CVS Health (CVS) Still a Buy After Years of Legal Battles & Store Closures?

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Shrinking Retail Footprint Signals Erosion of Core Business

CVS has long prided itself on its massive retail footprint, but this once-dominant advantage is now a liability. The company announced plans to close 900 stores by 2024, with 271 closures in 2025 alone. While management frames this as a strategy to focus on HealthHUBs and digital expansion, it exposes deeper weakness in the traditional pharmacy retail business.

The rise of e-commerce in pharmacy services, led by players like Amazon Pharmacy and Walmart, is squeezing CVS’s margins and reducing its competitive edge. Store closures may improve near-term efficiency, but they also shrink CVS’s brand visibility and customer touchpoints in an increasingly crowded healthcare market.

Medicare Advantage Pressures Threaten Insurance Profitability

The acquisition of Aetna was meant to transform CVS into a healthcare powerhouse, but the health insurance arm is now facing its own financial challenges. In Q2 2025, CVS recorded a $471 million premium deficiency reserve in its group Medicare Advantage business, signaling anticipated losses. As policymakers intensify scrutiny over Medicare Advantage reimbursements, CVS faces both regulatory and financial risk in one of its most critical growth engines.

While overall revenues are climbing, profitability in the insurance segment is far from secure. Any reduction in government reimbursement rates or heightened competition could turn this business into a drag rather than a driver of earnings.

Analyst Optimism May Mask Structural Weakness

Analysts remain broadly positive on CVS, with 19 “Buy” ratings, two “Strong Buy” ratings, and a consensus target of $76.67. Several firms, including Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley, have recently raised their price targets, citing strong revenue growth and cost-control initiatives. However, such optimism may be overlooking the deeper cracks in CVS’s business model.

Margins remain under pressure, debt-to-equity sits at 0.74, and liquidity ratios are weak, with a quick ratio of only 0.62. These numbers suggest that CVS lacks the financial flexibility to weather prolonged regulatory or operational shocks without significant cost-cutting or restructuring.

Dividend Sustainability at Risk

While CVS boasts a healthy-looking dividend yield of 3.7% and an annualized payout of $2.66 per share, its dividend payout ratio stands at a concerning 74.3%. In the context of falling operating income, litigation costs, and razor-thin margins, the sustainability of this dividend could be at risk. If profitability continues to falter, CVS may be forced to freeze or even cut its dividend—an outcome that would likely spook income-focused investors.

Insider Buying Not Enough to Restore Confidence

Some investors may point to insider activity as a bullish sign. Director Guy P. Sansone recently purchased 1,570 shares at $63.70, increasing his ownership by 15%. However, insider buying of this scale is relatively small compared to the company’s broader challenges. While it may reflect individual confidence, it is not enough to offset the deep structural risks facing CVS Health as a whole.

Conclusion: CVS Health Remains a Risky Long-Term Bet

CVS Health may appear attractive on the surface, with strong revenues, institutional investor support, and a dividend yield that appeals to income seekers. But the bearish thesis reveals a different story: ongoing litigation risks, declining retail dominance, Medicare Advantage headwinds, and margin pressures all pose significant challenges. Analyst optimism and insider buying may provide temporary relief, but the fundamentals suggest deeper issues that could weigh on long-term performance.

Unless CVS can meaningfully reform its PBM operations, stabilize its insurance arm, and successfully transition away from a declining retail model, the stock’s upside will likely remain capped. For investors, CVS Health looks less like a defensive healthcare play and more like a risky bet facing a gauntlet of legal, financial, and strategic obstacles.

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